Translated by: MOS Information Team—baoliaofen
US News recently reported that data from Communist China’s National Bureau of Statistics on Monday showed that the birth rate in the country fell to a record low in 2021, continuing a downward trend that led the Beijing government started allowing couples to have up to three children last year.
Communist China scrapped its decades-old one-child policy in 2016 and replaced it with a two-child limit in an attempt to avoid the economic risks resulted from rapidly aging population, but the high cost of urban living has been preventing couples from having more children.
The rate of 7.52 births per 1,000 in 2021 is the recorded lowest level since the National Bureau of Statistics began compiling data in 1949, which has further increasing pressure on officials to encourage more births.
The data show that Communist China’s natural population growth rate will only be 0.034% in 2021 (excluding the floating population), which is the lowest level since 1960.
“The demographic challenge is well known, but the population is aging significantly faster than expected,” said Zhiwei Zhang, chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management.
“This indicates that Communist China’s total population may reach its peak peak in 2021. It also suggests that the country’s potential growth may slow down faster than expected,” Zhang said.
In addition to allowing couples to have three children, Communist China has adopted policies aimed at easing the financial burden of raising children, including a ban on extracurricular tuition for profit since last year.
China’s working-age population is already declining, which will increase the pressure on the country’s ability to pay for and care for an increasingly aging population.
The data show that there were 10.62 million newborns 2021, compared to 12 million in 2020.
Demographic expert Huang Wenzheng said that if there are no more policy changes, the number of births will likely fluctuate in the 10 million range before declining further.
“But taking the long view, the policy will provide greater support for birth rates,” Huang said.
The birth rate in 2020 was 8.52 per 1,000 population.
According to the characteristics of past official reports of the Chinese Communist Party, the real data can only be more dismal. For a society that needs to continue steadily, when there is no large amount of labor force to create real material wealth, when the ratio of labor force in the society loses its normal support, when the demographic dividend passes and when the structural fault of the population comes, no matter how much RMB is printed by the totalitarian regime, it will no longer be able to supply the material consumption of the normal needs of the society. Looking at it from the macro level, if the country continues to stay under totalitarianism, something big is going to happen anyway, and it is not going to anything good. The precipitous decline in the birth rate will be the beginning of the collapse of the CCP regime.
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