【Translation】Bingo, Mi John, and Summer
Editor: Chi Haotian, also spelled as Chih Hao-tien, is a retired general of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army. He served as the former Vice Chairman of the Military Commission of the Communist Party of China from 1995 to 2002. Chi played an important role in directing the military’s enforcement of martial law in Beijing to suppress the Tiananmen Square Protests. You might find his speech disturbing but telling a lot about the mindset and strategies the CCP leaders have been held for years. This speech was estimated to be given shortly before the second report: “War is not far from us, it is the midwife of the Chinese century”.
“Hong Kong Labor Party Forum”, September 22, 2005
(Continued from part 1/2)
4. (Global) Diplomacy Determines Internal Affairs
Even the most hawkish hawks in China will not advocate calling for a war at this moment, although we have all the reasons doing so, such as the war of national reunification, such as the purpose of safeguarding the rights and interests of the South China Sea. It is for the right to development, and we should value this unparalleled right to development that China has ever had in 160 years. However, when this right to development is increasingly threatened, that is when we must take up arms to defend the right to development of the Chinese people.
It’s true that internal affairs determine diplomacy, but don’t forget that (in the historial ) Warring States era, (the big-picture) diplomacy also determines internal affairs. This is not only a theoretical statement, but also a statement based on the historical experience of the People’s Republic of China. In the 1970s, China’s defense expenditures exceeded the sum of expenditures on science, education, culture, and health (hence the people living in poverty). I certainly don’t want China’s military expenditures to exceed the total expenditures on science, education, culture, and health. In fact, what China needs most is education. But is it allowed by the great powers? Doesn’t Mao Zedong want to invest more money in science, education, culture, and health?
Some say that according to the so-called Soviet declassified documents, it is proved that the Soviet Union did not have a plan to invade China in the 1960s and 1970s. Even if these declassified documents are correct, it cannot explain the “true history”. China under its leadership has made the most adequate mental and material preparations, which greatly increased the risk and cost of the Soviet Union’s full-scale invasion of China. History has also completely turned in another direction. The weak will only attract aggression. From this perspective, Mao Zedong is the true defender of peace.
5. Seeking good and evil, can China be peaceful in the next 10 years?
To interrupt China’s modernization process and deprive the Chinese of their right to development, the great powers have many cards to play. The three most obvious cards are the “Three Islands”; and the Taiwan card is the most effective one. The right to decide whether there is a war in the Taiwan Strait is neither in our hands nor in the hands of Taiwan people; it is in the hands of the United States and Japan. If a war across the Taiwan Strait breaks out, it is not just a war of reunification by mainland China. The deeper implication is that the United States and Japan are determined to deprive the Chinese of their right to development, and once again interrupt China’s modernization process, just like the Jiawu Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895 when Japan waged a full-scale invasion of China that also forced China to cede land for compensation.
Therefore, we must view the war in the Taiwan Strait from a of strategic height. With our current level of force, there is still no strategic decisive battle for the United States and Japan, especially for the United States, because China only has few intercontinental missiles while the United States has determined to develop NMD.
To prevent the delay of the outbreak of the Taiwan Strait War, we must first raise the Taiwan Strait War to the level of a “symmetrical strategic decisive battle”. It is a process of breaking the net. If we cannot win the Taiwan Strait War, the consequences will be worse than the defeat of the Jiawu War. Therefore, if there is a war, China must destroy Japan and maimed the United States. Only a nuclear war can be proficient.
Seeking good for evil, this is the outcome of our current policy. Seeking evil for good, only with the ability to destroy Japan and crippling the United States can achieve the peace. Otherwise, the Taiwan issue will not drag on for 10 years, and there must be within 10 years. It is the War!
6. Hegemony is the essential characteristics of the existence of great powers
What is a powerful state? One with hegemony. Without hegemony, it is at the mercy of others, one whose destiny (and the right of development) is controlled by others. It is a fact that hegemony exists in this Warring States era, a fact “not changeable by human will”. The question is just whether you are aware of it, and whether you are approaching it proactively or being approached passively. All of the problems in China, including the Three Islands and the development of strategic industries. The issue of rebalancing the interests from various classes in the country is ultimately a matter of our Chinese nation fighting for the hegemony.
To contend for hegemony, there must not be unstoppable infighting. Internal stability and unity are necessary. The United Kingdom achieved “working class noblization” at an early age due to its huge benefits of overseas colonization. Japan, through immense reparation and market share in China, had not only benefited the upper classes, but also the lower classes. The times had changed and so did the situation, but the essence has never changed. We must not only look at military and diplomatic issues from the perspective of hegemony, but also look at the inner strata and the rebalance of the interests of different stratum from the perspective of hegemony. The upper stratum or elites, if only relying on the squeeze and exploitation of the lower classes from within, cannot represent national interests in this Warring States era. It would be decadent, declining, and hopeless, and it shall be restricted and eliminated. Only mature and intelligent upper-levels could represent national interests, that is, they implement “concession policies” domestically and lead the lower-levels to obtain overseas interests. (This is a complicated issue and I will discuss it in detail later. China has huge interests overseas, but we just haven’t developed them proactively).
Chinese Original: 迟浩田: 战争正在向我们走来
Part 1 of this speech: CCP Former General Chi Haotian: The War is Coming to Us (1/2)
The other Chi Haotian’s Speech: War is not far from us, it is the midwife of the Chinese century
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